Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.151234 0.162035 0.173346 0.186100 0.200108 0.215055 0.232251
2025-08-10 0.128643 0.144492 0.162155 0.183416 0.208469 0.237245 0.273077
2025-08-17 0.111806 0.130020 0.151281 0.178188 0.211702 0.252569 0.306953
2025-08-24 0.100250 0.119803 0.143480 0.174686 0.215380 0.267586 0.341212
2025-08-31 0.091496 0.111804 0.137150 0.171710 0.218583 0.281436 0.374801
2025-09-07 0.086089 0.107329 0.134576 0.172912 0.226850 0.302301 0.420215
2025-09-14 0.079398 0.100549 0.128272 0.168261 0.226218 0.310151 0.447015
2025-09-21 0.072987 0.093629 0.121173 0.161740 0.222028 0.311976 0.464200
2025-09-28 0.068354 0.088778 0.116502 0.158174 0.221652 0.319211 0.490653
2025-10-05 0.066518 0.087623 0.116844 0.161809 0.232316 0.344571 0.551047
2025-10-12 0.064467 0.086005 0.116360 0.164082 0.240935 0.367400 0.610362
2025-10-19 0.062084 0.083750 0.114767 0.164465 0.246439 0.385441 0.663474
2025-10-26 0.059375 0.080942 0.112279 0.163416 0.249740 0.400494 0.714425
2025-11-02 0.056622 0.077940 0.109348 0.161480 0.251427 0.412989 0.762852
2025-11-09 0.053508 0.074243 0.105140 0.157154 0.248557 0.416685 0.793225
2025-11-16 0.050970 0.071289 0.101915 0.154214 0.247849 0.424364 0.833857
2025-11-23 0.048729 0.068675 0.099070 0.151695 0.247638 0.432907 0.878049
2025-11-30 0.047434 0.067451 0.098347 0.152721 0.254020 0.455400 0.960553
2025-12-07 0.045184 0.064631 0.094905 0.148765 0.250576 0.457003 0.990423
2025-12-14 0.042752 0.061430 0.090698 0.143208 0.243595 0.450303 0.997167
2025-12-21 0.040971 0.059196 0.087984 0.140164 0.241317 0.453620 1.032088
2025-12-28 0.040488 0.059014 0.088652 0.143267 0.251547 0.486034 1.157078
2026-01-04 0.039808 0.058479 0.088693 0.145205 0.259565 0.514473 1.278469